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r/SpaceX Elon Musk Mars Society 2020 Talk Discussion and Updates Thread

Welcome to the SpaceX Elon Musk Mars Society 2020 Talk Thread

This is your SpaceX host team bringing you live coverage of this conference!
Reddit username Responsibilities
u/CAM-Gerlach OP creation; Live updates


Mars Society Convention 2020 Live Stream

Quick Facts

Quick Facts
Date 2020-10-16 (Friday)
Time 22:00 UTC (6:00 pm EDT, 3:00 pm PDT)
Location Virtual

Event blurb from Mars Society website

There’s no better way to kick-off Day 1 of the 2020 International Mars Society Convention than with a big announcement: SpaceX CEO and founder Elon Musk will be joining us virtually tomorrow (Friday, October 16th) at 3:00 pm PDT (6:00 pm EDT) [PLEASE NOTE NEW TIME] to provide our global audience with a special update about SpaceX and its plans for the Moon and Mars
Online registration for the International Mars Society Convention is free of charge, although attendees are kindly asked to consider supporting the organization and its programs by making a $50 contribution. For more details about the four-day virtual conference, including how to sign up online, please visit our web site at: https://www.marssociety.org.
Full blurb


Time Update
T+01:01 Alright, that's a wrap. Thanks to everyone for being a part of this experience together!
T+01:00 Zubrin: The one good thing that happened this year was Crew Dragon, and we're hoping for one more with a stratospheric Starship flight.
T+00:59 How would you describe Elon's operation down in Boca Chica? Its a Starship production facility, he's not just developing a ship but developing a shipyard. The Starship, beyond just its performance characteristics is designed to be mass-produced. He wants quantity, not just quality. He is turning out prototypes on a rate of one a month and is prepared to take losses, vs. NASA who could never afford a space shuttle to fail (and they did). He's not going to launch a humans to Mars program with four starships, he's going to have a hundred, and even more.
T+00:57 How does Elon's approach differ from the Mars society? Zubrin: He decided to go out and create a large company to solve the transportation problem, but we have to go out and recruit people to solve all the ancillary problems like space nuclear power and life support.
T+00:55 Zubrin: That's why I asked him about how he hires the right people, he has the best team since Von Braun and it takes a lot of management skill to get there.
T+00:53 What do you think is SpaceX's biggest challenge to pull off with Starship? Zubrin: Has a huge number of engines especially on the booster, there's more resiellience against things going wrong but more things that could. Got twice as much thrust as the Saturn V so a lot of power to manage. Full resuability is a challenge, we saw that didn't work out with Shuttle but that was 1970s technology vs what we have today, but he is attempting to solve both all the development that went into the Saturn V, and all the development of the Space Shuttle, plus orbital refilling.
T+00:52 Have your thoughts about SpaceX changed since what you wrote in "A case for Space"? Zubrin: Well, they haven't changed that much. Musk is moving really fast and the commercial space industry has taken off. Orbital refueling is the biggest challenge but I think Musk has a good plan with back to back Starships.
T+00:51 Is SpaceX going to get us to Mars on its own, or should it be a collaborative effort? Zubrin: SpaceX does the most important thing, which is the transportation system, but we need people on the political, technological and financial sides too.
T+00:49 What should you study to help participate in getting us to Mars? A huge variety of fields will be necessary for Mars colonization, but science and math are key.
T+00:48 Do you think the moon is a good stepping stone to Mars? Zubrin: No, if you want to go to Mars, you should go to Mars.
T+00:47 Is electric propulsion a viable means to reach Mars in the next 100 years? Zubrin: Probably not, since it takes so long to accelerate it doesn't really speed things up, though perhaps to outer planets would be useful. What we really need is more mass and propellant to orbit to be able to get more mass to Mars.
T+00:46 Elon thanks everyone for helping promote Mars, now Zubrin will answer questions for the next 15 minutes
T+00:45 Have you thought about communication networks on Mars? Yeah, you could deploy Starlink around Mars, and use laser relays between the planets.
T+00:44 What are you looking for in engineers at SpaceX? Exceptional ability is the biggest factor.
T+00:43 What else can Starship be used for? Can go to any planet on which there is a rocky surface to land. Mercury and Venus are hot and inhospitable, but likely outer-solar system bodies like Ceres.
T+00:41 What is your favorite part of Starship development? Working with such amazing creative smart people.
T+00:39 How can we help get people to Mars? Just start talking about it with people and get people aware of how important it is to our species.
T+00:37 Starship orbital refueling in 2022, moon ship prototype in 2023, once you have orbital refueling you can send people to the moon, targeting 2024 for first Starship flight to Mars
T+00:35 Is the Boring company is just a way to build tunnels on Mars? No, its also important here on Earth. It started as just a joke but it can be a good way to alleviate traffic. For Mars tunnels are important but need to be very light.
T+00:34 What should kids focus on to be an engineer and work for SpaceX? You don't just need to be an aerospace engineer, you can do a lot of other types of engineering. Physics background really important for thinking.
T+00:32 How do you prioritize missions?  Biggest priority is a propellant plant. We could have remote-control electric cars for conducting tasks on Mars. Mine some ice, CO2 from the atmosphere, light, and start making propellant.
T+00:31 Where's the best place to land on Mars? Mid-latitudes, not too far from ice but not too far from the equator for best isolation and air braking.
T+00:30 Question time!
T+00:29 Elon: We need both the means and the way, when the set of people who want to go to Mars intersect with those who can then we will be a multiplantary species
T+00:28 Zubrin: How can the Mars Society help you achieve your goal?
T+00:28 Competition with other satellite launch providers is secondary to the drive toward the goal of creating a self-sustaining civilization on Mars, the latter is much more motivating.
T+00:27 Elon: Absurd that Lockheed and Boeing don't sell single-use aircraft, but only sell single-use rockets
T+00:26 Elon: I don't know, but we have to set a radical goal and drive toward it, like a Mars colony rather than just launching some satellites
T+00:26 Zubrin: What is your methodology that allows you to innovate more swiftly?
T+00:25 If pace of technological development is optimistic, we have a fighting chance of making the 2024 Mars transfer window with our first uncrewed flight to Mars
T+00:24 Full production and regular orbital flights in 2022
T+00:23 80-90% chance of orbit next year (2021), 50-60% chance of recovery on first flight, but we're likely to lose some Starships
T+00:22 Zubrin: What are the current dates for major milestones?
T+00:21 Methane has higher Isp, Raptor has more efficient cycle, lower finess ratio increases volume efficiency, and can be made on Mars.
T+00:19 F9 we've been able to achieve near full reusability with the booster, and mostly with the fairing, which is near a local maxima for the particular configuration, but configuration (fineness ratio, engine cycle, propellant choice) is not optimal for full reusability and best economics.
T+00:17 Economy of scale helps larger rockets due to fixed-size components and costs, and square-cube law and material thickness also are a major advantage.
T+00:15 Need to get a high enough mass fraction to orbit per launch vehicle to make economics worthwhile.
T+00:14 "Doing a reusable suborbital rocket is easy. Doing a reusable orbital rocket is hard."
T+00:14 "Expendable rockets are utterly stupid. People should stop wasting their time." -Elon
T+00:13 Expendable rockets are never going to work when it comes to getting the kind of tonnage to Mars that we need for a self-sustaining colony, only 1/5000 of what's needed.
T+00:11 Zubrin: How did you progress from Falcon 9 to Falcon Heavy to Starship?
T+00:10 Elon: We need to get to Mars as soon as possible because we don't know when something is going to happen to the Earth, and get excited about the future.
T+00:08 Zubrin: What was the line of thinking that led to Starship?
T+00:07 Elon:As far as we know, we're the only life out there, so we need to survive and expand.
T+00:06 Zubrin: Why do you see space exploration as a critical goal?
T+00:05 And Elon Musk!
T+00:04 We're live with Robert Zubrin!
T-00:07 Audio checks!
T-00:20 Webcast link updated again
T-05:20 Webcast link updated
T-19:30 Thread goes live!

Links & Resources

Participate in the discussion!

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submitted by rSpaceXHosting to spacex

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submitted by Frapple to datarecovery

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