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[Game Preview] Playoff Edition Super Bowl - New England Patriots (15-3) vs Philadelphia Eagles(15-3)

Philadelphia Eagles (15-3) vs. New England Patriots (15-3)
The Eagles proved the pundits wrong again as they handled the number two seed Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Championship game. The Eagles offense put up 31 points on the NFL’s top rated defense as vintage Nick Foles came out to play throwing for 352 yards, 3 TDs and zero INTs in a dominate Eagles win at home in the Linc. The win sends the Eagles to the Super Bowl setting up a rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX against the New England Patriots. While the Eagles took care the Vikings with relative ease, the Patriots had some trouble putting away a pesky Jacksonville squad. Blake Bortles put up 293 yards and a touchdown on the New England defense and led going into the fourth quarter. However, Tom Brady was Tom Brady and led his team down the field for a go ahead touchdown and the Patriots defense sealed the game with a defensive stand. The New England defense will have its hands full vs the Eagles who are much more talented on offense than the Jacksonville Jaguars, especially if Nick Foles played the way he did against Minnesota. The Eagles will look to get Jay Ajayi and former Patriot LaGarrette Blount going early against a porous New England run defense that is giving up the 2nd most yards per attempt in the league at 4.7. If the Eagles do get the run game going it will greatly help the Eagles in the passing game setting up the RPO and play action where Nick Foles can be deadly. Patriots corners Malcom Butler and Stephen Gilmore struggled to shut down the Jaguars’ WRs and will face a more skilled veteran Eagles WR corps. Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith seemed to get on the same page with backup Nick Foles against the Vikings as the two combined for 10 receptions for 154 and 3 TDs against a vaunted Vikings secondary. The two will look to carry that momentum into Sunday against the Patriots 30th ranked pass defense. On the other side of the ball, the Patriots offense has one of the all-time greats at the helm in Tom Brady who spreads the ball around to numerous play makers including speedy WR Brandin Cooks and All-Pro TE Rob Gronkowski, who is currently in concussion protocol, but is expected to play. The Eagles did well shutting down Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen, but they did have Tom Brady throwing them the football, so the secondary will have to be on its game and not make any mistakes. One thing that could help them is the Philadelphia Eagle pass rush which has pressured the QB better than anyone in the league this year and has turned it up in the playoffs. The biggest key will be up the middle with Fletcher Cox, Timmy Jernigan and Beau Allen, if they can get a push and prevent Tom Brady from stepping up into the pocket it will take some of the heat off of the secondary. The Eagles don’t need to sack Tom Brady, but if they can hit and frustrate him like the Giants DLs did in Brady’s two Super Bowl losses they could force him into turnovers. Patriots’ coach Bill Belichick is one of the all-time greats will have his team prepared and any mistakes will be minimal, so the Eagles will need to take advantage of any that they can force. On the other side, Doug Pederson won’t shy away from the challenge of facing Belichick. He is going to play to win as evident by the end of second half of the Vikings game when he chose to go for points with just 29 second left instead of being satisfied with taking his 21-7 lead into halftime. The game will be a hard fought one at US Bank Stadium and you can bet the Eagles will continue to ride their underdog mentality against the Brady/Belichick dynasty. If the Eagles are going to go down, it will be fighting. Once again, virtually no pundits are picking the Eagles to win, but every dog has his day. Go Birds!
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to join us on Slack during the game!
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New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Sunday, February 4, 2018
Game Time Game Location
6:30 PM - Eastern US Bank Stadium
5:30 PM - Central 401 Chicago Avenue
4:30 PM - Mountain Minneapolis, MN 55415
3:30 PM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Dome
Surface: UBU Sports Speed Series S5-M
Temperature: N/A
Feels Like: N/A
Forecast: N/A.
Chance of Precipitation: N/A
Cloud Coverage: N/A
Wind: N/A
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: New England by -5.5
OveUnder: 38
Record VS. Spread: Philadelphia 12-6, New England 12-6
Where to Watch on TV
NBC will broadcast Sunday’s game. Al Michaels will handle the play-by-play duties and Cris Collinsworth will provide analysis. Michele Tafoya will report from the sidelines.
TV Map – N/A All games televised nationally.
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (41st season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Patriots Radio
Patriots Radio Network Socci returns for his fifth season in the booth as play-by-play broadcasters on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Socci is joined in the booth by former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, who's entering his sixth season as action analyst.
National Radio
Westwood One Kevin Harlan (play-by-play), Boomer Esiason (analyst) and Mike Holmgren (analyst) will call the game. Ed Werder and Tony Boselli will report from the sidelines.
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Patriots Channel National Channel Spanish Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 83 (Internet 825) 82 (Internet 820) SIRI 88 (Internet 145) SIRI 468 (Internet 966)
XM Radio XM 83 (Internet 825) XM 82 (Internet 820) XM 88 (Internet 145) XM 468 (Internet 966)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 83 (Internet 825) SXM 82 (Internet 820) SXM 88 (Internet 145) SXM 468 (Internet 966)
Eagles Social Media Patriots Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: Patriots
NFC East Standings
Team Record Pct Home Away Div Conf PF PA Strk
Eagles(XYZ) 13-3 .813 7-1 6-2 5-1 10-2 457 295 1L
Cowboys 9-7 .563 3-5 6-2 5-1 7-5 354 332 1W
Redskins 7-9 .438 5-3 2-6 1-5 5-7 342 388 1L
Giants 3-13 .188 2-6 1-7 1-5 1-11 246 388 1W
[x]-Clinched Division [Y]-Clinched 1st Round Bye [Z]-Clinched Home Field Advantage
NFC Playoff Picture
Seed Team Division Record
1 Eagles East 15-3
2 Vikings North 14-4
3 Rams West 11-6
4 Saints South 12-6
5 Panthers South 11-6
6 Falcons South 11-7
AFC Playoff Picture
Seed Team Division Record
1 Patriots East 15-3
2 Steelers North 13-4
3 Jaguars South 12-7
4 Chiefs West 10-7
5 Titans South 10-7
6 Bills East 9-8
Series Information
Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots in the series, 7-6
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
November 4, 1973 at Veterans Stadium in Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia Eagles 24 – New England Patriots 23
Points Leader
The Philadelphia Eagles lead the New England Patriots (304-293)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 0-0 against the Patriots
Bill Belichick: 4-1 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Bill Belichick: First meeting between the coaches
Quarterback Record
Nick Foles: Against Patriots: 0-0
Tom Brady: Against Eagles: 4-1
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Nick Foles vs Tom Brady: First meeting between the QBs
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Patriots lead 2-0
Record @ Gillette Stadium: Patriots lead 2-1
Record @ US Bank Stadium: Neither team has played at US Bank Stadium.
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 5 - Patriots No. 1
Eagles: 15-3
Patriots: 15-3
Last Meeting
Sunday, December 6, 2015
Eagles 35 - Patriots 28
As Jeffrey Lurie saw his team being taken away by a short little guy who is back with the kids where he belongs, he stepped into the Eagles locker room at Gillette Stadium and to rally his team for a win in Foxboro. The Eagles fell behind early before ripping off 5 straight touchdowns including a blocked punt return, interception return and punt return. The Eagles led 35-14, before Tom Brady woke and put two scores on the board to make it a one possession game, but a spike and three straight incomplete passes by Brady, sealed it for the Eagles as they ran out the clock.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here to view the Stats Recap
Last Meeting in Playoffs
Sunday, February 6, 2005
Patriots 24 – Eagles 21
The Eagles and Patriots met in Jacksonville to face off in Super Bowl XXXIX. Mistakes plagued the Eagles in a close game. Donovan McNabb was sacked 4 times and threw three interceptions and LJ Smith fumbled the ball away. Despite the turnovers, the game went back and forth with the Eagles striking first, before Tom Brady tied it up 7-7 going into half time. Patriots and Eagles traded TDs in the 3rd before with TD receptions from Mike Vrabel for the Patriots and Brian Westbrook for the Eagles. The Patriots then scored 10 straight points in the 4th quarter. The Eagles attempted to lead a late comeback, but came up short 24-21.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here to view the Stats Recap
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
12/06/15 Eagles Patriots 35-28
11/27/11 Patriots Eagles 38-20
11/25/07 Patriots Eagles 31-28
02/06/05 Patriots Eagles 24-21
09/14/03 Patriots Eagles 31-10
12/19/99 Eagles Patriots 24-9
11/04/90 Eagles Patriots 48-20
11/29/87 Eagles Patriots 34-31
12/09/84 Eagles Patriots 27-17
09/13/81 Eagles Patriots 13-3
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Patriots Patriots
2017 Weekly Matchup
Championship Round - "Expert" Picks
2017 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Patriots Season Stats
2017 Regular Season Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Foles 57 101 56.4 537 5 2 79.5
Wentz (IR) 265 440 60.2% 3296 33 7 101.9
Brady 385 581 66.3 % 4577 32 8 102.8
Blount 173 824 47.9 4.4 2
Ajayi 70 408 58.3 5.8 1
Lewis 180 896 52.6 5.0 6
Ertz 74 824 58.9 11.1 8
Gronkowski 69 1084 77.4 15.7 4
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 9.5 38
Flowers 6.5 42
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
Bradham 88 61 27 1.0
McCourty 97 80 17 1.0
Name Ints Team Total
Robinson 4 19
Harmon 4 12
D. Jones 67 3033 62 45.3 40.6 21 5 1
Allen 58 2515 60 43.4 40.5 24 3 0
Elliot 31 26 83.9% 61 39/42
Gostkowski 40 37 92.5% 62 45/47
Kick Returns
Barner 10 194 19.4 27 0
Lewis 23 570 24.8 103 1
Punt Returns
Barner 27 240 8.9 76 0 15
Amendola 27 231 8.6 40 0 18
League Rankings 2017
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Offense 365.8 7th 394.2 1st
Rush Offense 132.2 3rd 118.1 10th
Pass Offense 233.6 13th 276.1 2nd
Points Per Game 28.6 T-2nd 28.6 T-2nd
3rd-Down Offense 41.7% 8th 40.6% 10th
4th-Down Offense 65% 3rd 61.5% 5th
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 65.5 1st 60.0 5th
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Defense 306.5 4th 394.1 29th
Rush Defense 79.2 1st 118.1 20th
Pass Defense 227.3 17th 276.1 30th
Points Per Game 18.4 4th 18.5 5th
3rd-Down Defense 32.2% 3rd 39.4% 21st
4th-Down Defense 22.2% T-1st 43.5% 13th
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 55.3 20th 43.8 4th
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Turnover Diff. +11 4th +6 11th
Penalty Per Game 6.9 T-20th 5.7 7th
Penalty Yards Per Game 60.1 22nd 52.2 8th
2017 Post Season Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Foles 49 63 77.8 598 3 0 122.1
Brady 61 91 67.0% 627 5 0 105.0
Ajyai 33 127 63.5 3.8 0
Lewis 24 96 48.0 4.0 0
Jeffery 9 146 73.0 16.2 2
Amendola 18 196 98.0 10.9 2
Name Sacks Team Total
Barnett/Cox/Bradham/McLeod 1.0 4.0
Wise/Grissom/Butler 2.0 11
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
Darby 14 12 12 0
Chung 12 8 4 0
Name Ints Team Total
Robinson/Graham 1 2
N/A 0 0
D. Jones 6 253 54 42.2 38.8 5 1 0
Allen 58 2515 60 43.4 40.5 24 3 0
Elliot 4 4 100% 53 5/6
Gostkowski 1 2 50% 31 8/8
Kick Returns
Barner 1 26 26.0 26 0
Lewis 3 61 20.3 27 0
Punt Returns
Barner 1 10 10.0 10 0 4
Amendola 5 52 10.4 20 0 8
League Rankings 2017 Postseason
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Offense 395.0 3rd 391.0 4th
Rush Offense 103.0 7th 73.5 10th
Pass Offense 292.0 5th 317.5 3rd
Points Per Game 26.5 4th 29.5 2nd
3rd-Down Offense 59% 1st 48% 3rd
4th-Down Offense 100% T-1st 100% T-1st
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 65.5 1st 57.9 9th
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Patriots Stat Patriots Rank
Total Defense 306.5 4th 275.9 1st
Rush Defense 78.0 2nd 83.0 3rd
Pass Defense 229.0 5th 237.5 6th
Points Per Game 8.5 1st 17.0 4th
3rd-Down Defense 38% 6th 37% 4th
4th-Down Defense 25% 4th 50% T-5h
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 55.3 20th 40.0 3rd
Recap from Last Week’s Games.
Eagles - Video For the second week in a row, the number one seed was were underdogs going into a game on their own turf. After taking care the Falcons in the NFC Divisional Round, the Eagles welcomed the Minnesota Vikings to the Linc for the NFC Championship off their win over the Saints with the Minnesota Miracle. The Vikings took a quick lead scoring on their opening possession and forced a quick 3 and out. After that it was all Eagles. Chris Long hit Case Keenum's arm forcing an errant pass that Patrick Robinson took the other way for a 50 yard pick six. The Eagles defense forced 3 and out on the next possession as Nick Foles lead the Eagles 75 yards down the field against the league's number one defense before LaGarrett Blount barreled his way in the endzone for his 10th post season TD. The Eagles defense came up big in the second quarter as the Vikings were threatening to put points on the board before Derek Barnett sacked Case Keenum and forced a fumble recovered by Chris Long. Foles found Jeffery on the following drive for 53 yards and the TD. The Eagles would tack on 3 more points at the end of the half as they got the ball with just 29 seconds left and quickly moved down the field and set up a 53 yard Jake Elliott FG. Doug Pederson pulled out some razzle dazzle to open the second half as he called for a flea flicker which resulted in a 41 yard Torrey Smith TD. Foles would throw his 3rd TD pass of the game and 2nd to Alshon Jeffery to start the 4th quarter, in what ended up being 38 unanswered points, 31 by the offense against the league top defense. The Eagles defense would hold the Vikings scoreless after the opening possession and hold on to the win and send the Eagles to their third Super Bowl.
Patriots - Video – The Patriots were coming off a stomping of the Titans in the AFC Divisional round and welcomed the Jacksonville to town who were coming off a shootout win over the Steelers. The Patriots struck first blood with an early Goskowski 31 yard FG in the first quarter. In the second quarter however, the Jaguars woke up scoring touchdowns on consecutive possessions with the first coming in the form of an 11 yard Blake Bortles pass to Marcedes Lewis and the next on a Leonard Fournette run up the gut. The Patriots answered moving the ball down field with the help of a unnecessary roughness from an ugly helmet hit on All-Pro Rob Gronkowski which took him out of the game with a concussion and a very question pass interference penalty. James White ran the ball in with 55 seconds left to go in the half to make it a 4 point game. Jacksonville played it safe and opted to run out the clock rather than try to extend their lead with the 55 seconds left on the clock. Jacksonville would add two FGs in the second quarter, but Tom Brady would find Danny Amendola in the back of the endzone to start the fourth quarter to cut the lead to just 3. After a bad punt and good return by Amendola, Brady would play comeback hero once against in his career as he led his team down the field and took the lead with his second TD pass to Amendola on the night. The Patriots defense held the lead and shutdown Blake Bortles to second the Patriots to their 2nd straight Super Bowl and will send the Patriots to their 8th Super Bowl under Bill Belichick.|
Patriots WR Dion Lewis was drafted by the Philadelphia Eagles in the 5th round of the 2011 NFL Draft and played two seasons with them before he was traded to the Cleveland Browns before the 2013 season.
Patriots WR Danny Amendola was signed by the Philadelphia Eagles in 2009, but was cut during the final rounds of cuts and was signed to their practice squad before being signed by the St. Louis Rams.
Eagles DE Chris Long spent one season with the Patriots in 2016 and won a Super Bowl ring with them.
Eagles RB LaGarrett Blount spent 4 season with the Patriots in two separate stints in 2013 and 2014-2016 and won two Super Bowl rings with them in the 2014 and 2016 seasons.
Eagles LB/K Kamu Grugier-Hill was drafted by the New England Patriots in the 6th round of the 2016 NFL Draft, he was waived Patriots during final roster cuts and claimed by the Eagles.
Patriots DB Eric Rowe was selected in the 2nd round of the 2015 NFL drafted and spent the 2015 season with the Eagles before being traded to the Patriots the following season.
Patrick Chung signed with the Eagles in 2013 and he played one season with the team before being released and returning to the Patriots.
Eagles Owner Jeffrey Lurie grew up as a Patriots fan and attempted to purchase Patriots in 1993 before being outbid by Robert Kraft. He purchased the Philadelphia Eagles the following season.
Eagles TE Zach Ertz and Patriots OT Cameron Flemming were offensive teammates together at Stanford.
Patriots FB James Devlin grew up in the Philadelphia suburb of Gilbertsville, PA and attended Boyertown High School.
Eagles QB Nick Foles and Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski were teammates together at University of Arizona for two years, but never played together as Nick Foles sat out the first year due to transfer rules and Gronkowski injured his back the following year.
Jim Schwartz was a personnel scout for the Cleveland Browns from 1993-1995 while Bill Belichick was the Head Coach.
Eagles DB Coach Cory Undlin was a defensive assistant under Bill Belichick for the Patriots in 2004.
Eagles TE coach Eugene Chung played three seasons for the Patriots from 1992-1994.
Patriots Special Teams Coordinator Joe Judge was born in Philadelphia and attended Lansdale Catholic High School.
2018 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Patriots
OT Lane Johnson(Reserve) QB Tom Brady(Starter)
QB Carson Wentz (Starter) TE Rob Gronkowski(Reserve)
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) FB James Devlin (Starter)
G Brandon Brooks (Starter) ST Matthew Slater (Starter)
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter)
FS Malcom Jenkins(Reserve)
C Jason Kelce (1st Alt)
DE Brandon Graham (1st Alt)
CB Jalen Mills (3rd Alt)
K Jake Elliot (2nd Alt)
ST Kame Grugier-Hill (2nd Alt)
Referee: Gene Steratore
Philadelphia has held opponents to 10-or-fewer points in 4 consecutive games (dating back to Week 16), which is the club’s longest streak since 1974 (5 games). The last NFL team to accomplish that feat was the 2009 Broncos (4).
This is the first time in franchise history that the Eagles have allowed 10-or-fewer points in back-to-back games of the same postseason. The last NFL team to accomplish that feat was the 2009 Ravens (2).
In the NFC Championship, Philadelphia defeated Minnesota, 38-7. The Eagles scored the 2nd-most points in team playoff history (W, 58-37 vs. Detroit on 12/30/95). The club’s +31 point margin was the best in team playoff history
Philadelphia finished the regular season with a franchise record-tying 13 wins (also 2004), tying Minnesota, New England and Pittsburgh for the best record in the NFL.
The Eagles became just the fourth team in NFL history to score 38+ points and allow no more than 7 points in a conference championship game since the 1970 merger.
Philadelphia’s 456 total yards (346 passing, 110 rushing) in the conference championship victory vs. Minnesota were the most in Eagles playoff history.).
Philadelphia totaled 27 first downs (7 rushing, 19 passing, 1 penalty) in the NFC Championship against the Vikings were the most in team postseason history.
The Eagles converted 10-of-14 (71.4%) third-down attempts in the win vs. Minnesota, which marked the best thirddown conversion rate in franchise playoff history. It was the 2nd-best third-down conversion rate in NFL playoff history, trailing only Atlanta’s 76.9% (10-of-13) in the 2016 NFC Championship vs. Green Bay (1/22/17).
Philadelphia led the NFL in red zone TD efficiency (65.5%), time of possession (32:41) and opponent rushing yards per game (79.2). The Eagles also tied with New England for the NFL lead in point differential (+162).
Philadelphia’s 457 points ranked 3rd in the NFL, behind L.A. Rams (478) and New England (458). The Eagles’ 457 points were also the 2nd-most in team history, trailing only their 2014 production (474).
Philadelphia led the NFL in rushing defense (79.2), posting their lowest mark since 1991 (71.0). The Eagles’ 79.2 opponent rushing yards per game were the fewest allowed by an NFL team since the 2014 Lions (69.3).
Philadelphia ranked 3rd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (132.2), behind Jacksonville (141.4) and Dallas (132.2). The Eagles also ranked 3rd in third-down defense (32.2%) and fourth-down offense (65.4%).
Philadelphia produced the 4th-most takeaways in the NFL (31), trailing only Baltimore (34), Jacksonville (33) and Detroit (32). The Eagles ranked 4th in the NFL in turnover differential (+11), behind Baltimore (+17), Kansas City (+15) and L.A. Chargers (+12).
In 3 career playoff games, Nick Foles has completed 72- of-96 (75.0%) attempts for 793 yards, 5 TDs, 0 INTs and a 116.4 passer rating. During the 2017 playoffs, Foles has completed 49-of-63 (77.8%) attempts for 598 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs and a 122.1 passer rating.
LeGarrette Blount has 10 rushing TDs in 10 career playoff games (including 2 TDs this postseason). His 10 rushing TDs are the 7th-most in NFL playoff history, behind Hall of Famers Emmitt Smith (19), Thurman Thomas (16), Franco Harris (16), Terrell Davis (12), John Riggins (12) and Marcus Allen (11)
Blount is the first Eagle with rushing TDs in back-to-back playoff games since Brian Westbrook during the 2006 playoffs (1/7/07-1/13/07).
Alshon Jeffery caught 2 TDs in the win against the Vikings. Jeffery is the fifth Eagle with 2 receiving TDs in a playoff game (first since Brent Celek on 1/18/09 at Arizona).
Philadelphia will make its third Super Bowl appearance, having previously played in Super Bowl XV vs. Oakland (L, 10-27) following the 1980 season and Super Bowl XXXIX vs. New England (L, 21-24) following the 2004 season.
Philadelphia owns the 5th-highest winning percentage (.595) in the NFL (including playoffs) since 2000, behind New England (.744), Pittsburgh (.650), Indianapolis (.615) and Green Bay (.611)
Sunday marks the seventh NFL championship game in Eagles history. Philadelphia played in four NFL Championships in 1947 (L, 21-28 at Chicago Cardinals), 1948 (W, 7-0 vs. Chicago Cardinals), 1949 (W, 14-0 at L.A. Rams) and 1960 (W, 17-13 vs. Green Bay Packers).
The Patriots will have a chance to tie for the most Super Bowl wins if they win on Sunday or tie for the most Super Bowl losses if they lose on Sunday.
Draft Picks
Eagles Patriots
DE Derek Barnett OLB Derek Rivers
CB Sidney Jones OT Antonio Garcia
CB Rasul Douglas DE Deatrich Wise Jr.
WR Mack Hollins OT Connor McDermott
RB Donnel Pumphrey
WR Shelton Gibson
LB Nathan Gerry
DT Elijah Qualls
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Patriots
WR Torrey Smith CB Stephon Gilmore
WR Alshon Jeffery RB Rex Burkhead
DE Chris Long RB Mike Gillislee
DT Timmy Jernigan DT Lawrence Guy
RB LaGarrett Blount WR Brandin Cooks
CB Patrick Robinson DT Ricky Barkley Jean Francois
G Chance Warmack LB David Harris
S Corey Graham C James Ferentz
CB Ronald Darby DE Eric Lee
K Jake Elliott LB Nicholas Grigsby
LB Dannell Ellerbe WR Kenny Britt
OT Will Beatty LB James Harrison
QB Brian Hoyer
TE Dwayne Allen
CB Johnson Bademosi
WR Phillip Dorsett
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Patriots
CB Nolan Carroll TE Martellus Bennett
DE Connor Barwin RB LaGarrette Blount
DT Bennie Logan WR Michael Floyd
QB Chase Daniel DE Chris Long
CB Leodis McKelvin OLB Barkevious Mingo
WR Dorial Green-Beckham CB Logan Ryan
DE Marcus Smith DE Jabaal Sheard
RB Ryan Mathews
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge


  • (CAPS = Shadow Coverage)
  • Stats are based on the regular season
Eagles WRs vs. Patriots DBs IMAGE.
Tm WDB Pos H Wt Sp Rt L% S% R% %TaRt Cat% YPRC Gr Adv
PHI ALSHON JEFFERY LWR 75 218 4.48 577 45 16 39 20 50 1.44 80 -16
NE STEPHON GILMORE RCB 73 190 4.38 479 42 12 45 15 63 1.11 87.1
PHI Torrey Smith RWR 72 205 4.41 465 38 17 45 14 61 0.99 41.4 -55
NE Malcolm Butler LCB 71 190 614 51 13 36 16 60 1.26 80.8
PHI Nelson Agholor Slot 72 198 4.42 502 7 86 7 19 67 1.58 79.1 +28
NE Eric Rowe Slot 73 205 4.45 148 14 79 7 19 59 1.89 46.9
Patriots WRs vs. Eagles DBs IMAGE
Tm WDB Pos H Wt Sp Rt L% S% R% %TaRt Cat% YPRC Gr Adv
NE Brandin Cooks LWR 70 189 4.33 627 55 19 26 17 61 1.74 79.3 -27
PHI Ronald Darby RCB 71 193 4.38 232 6 3 91 22 55 1.5 81.8
NE Chris Hogan RWR 73 210 402 18 48 34 16 59 1.23 53.4 -37
PHI Jalen Mills LCB 72 191 4.61 609 87 3 10 18 60 1.14 71
NE Danny Amendola Slot 71 190 4.58 418 6 83 11 21 82 1.86 75.5 +16
PHI Patrick Robinson Slot 71 191 4.46 464 6 80 14 19 56 1.34 90.4
TE Matchups IMAGE
Tm TE/Def H Wt Rt Bl% Inl% S% W% %TaRt Cat% YPRC Gr Adv
NE Rob Gronkowski 78 265 567 11 32 51 17 23 64 2.33 89.9 +13
PHI Malcolm Jenkins (S) 72 204 262 8 64 0.48 83.8
PHI Zach Ertz 77 250 488 7 42 41 17 23 73 1.82 85.7 +11
NE Patrick Chung (S) 71 215 314 13 51 0.84 86.3
OL/DL Matchups IMAGE
Note: Pressure Rate and Yards Before Contact are projected numbers based on the starters' grades and are adjusted for injuries. All other stats are based on this season's data
Tm Press% SkConv YBCon Runs ins. 5 yd ln/gm TD ins. 5 yd ln% PB Adv RB Adv
NE (OL) 4.1 13 1.89 1.1 41 -12 +6
PHI (DL) 7.3 19 1.36 0.6 33
PHI (OL) 4.4 16 1.84 1 31 +3 +40
NE (DL) 6 17 1.99 0.2 67
Stats to Know
Playing the Patriots' Slot Machine
The Patriots have a lot of weapons they deploy in the slot. Which personnel packages Eagles DC Jim Schwartz decides to go with will be key in this game. RBs Dion Lewis and James White line up in the slot 37% and 41% of their snaps, respectively. TE Rob Gronkowski lines up in the slot about 33% of his snaps, but about half of his yards come from the slot. From the slot, Gronk has the 2nd-highest receiving yards of all TEs (554), behind Travis Kelce. His Yards Per Route Run from slot alignment is also 2nd of all TEs. And he has ZERO drops from the slot (5 total). WR Danny Amendola is the primary slot aligner, accounting for 570/659 yards, 54/61 receptions and 515/666 (78%) of his snaps. If Gym Shorts is reading this, you might want to consider not playing a MLB this game. Just a suggestion. Kthxbai --Courtesy of PFF Elite
Matchups to Watch
Doug Pederson & Co. vs Bill Belichick & Co.
Eagles fans learned a lot about their team this season but perhaps the biggest take away is that COACHING MATTERS. If someone told us that a visor-wearing offensive guru that emphasizes practice and preparation would take the league by storm and quickly help make the Eagles contenders we would have believed it. We just would have thought that would have been Chip Kelly several years ago. Coaching has made the difference for the Eagles this season as Doug Pederson and company have navigated treacherous waters in route to this game. This Eagles team has been prepared for everything they have seen this season and now face their toughest test as the Patriots enter the Super Bowl with their own excellent coaching staff. There is no bigger match up in this game than right here. Pederson and his staff continue to put the Eagles in positions to win. Bill Belichick and his staff do the same thing. They are notorious for how well they team the game to their players and have them prepared. They are known for their continued adjustments and the ability to excel in situational football. They make you beat them. Given the talent and excellence in coaching, it’s no wonder they don’t lose often. Pederson isn’t Belichick but he has proven to be quite the coaching mastermind in his own right. They are always open to great ideas and always take feedback from their players. They are film junkies who constantly look for areas to exploit their opponent. They put their players in positions to succeed and they don’t settle for less than full effort. We’ve seen throughout the season the players rally around one another; this team has been everything Philadelphia fans love to root for and have the chance to celebrate the one thing they want more than anything. That’s a testament to great coaching. The Eagles will need one more great game plan and coaching effort in order to win this game as they will get the best of what New England has to offer.
Matchups are continued in the comments below due to character limits.
submitted by Rsubs33 to eagles

Two Isolated Sample Sizes - Dark Symphony Raid - 219100 and 108800 Coins

EDIT : Added some actual discussion throughout the post to give meaning to all the numbers and analysis.
TL;DR: Read tables 10 and 11, they sum up my data as well as compares this raid to the last few to a degree.
Another late post, my apologies. Work, exams, Facebook locking my account for 2 days, family and friends and all that, yada yada yada. Let's dive into the numbers, shall we?
This time around I tried something new. I've slowly been working on an alt account and it was able to reliably farm PRO and occasionally farm ELT thanks to strong friends, so I was able to collect two sets of data! I've worked the numbers on both (This may or may not continue).
  • Rounding Estimation is essentially just an intermediate step while going to the Better Estimation by rounding the pull rate off, but I found it to be slightly significant so I added it.
  • Sources and interesting links at the bottom.
Below are my findings for my main account compared to the Wiki's findings1 :

Table 1

Name Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Rounding Estimation (%) Better Estimation (%) Wiki's Estimation (%) Absolute Difference (%)
King Gil Snapper 75 3.42 3.40 3.50 3.00 0.5
Metal Gigantuar 62 2.83 2.80 3.00 3.00 0
Gil Snapper Family 18 0.82 0.80 0.75 0.50 0.25
King Metal Minituar 15 0.68 0.70 0.75 0.50 0.25
Kitty Ariana Moogle 13 0.59 0.60 0.50 0.75 0.25
Ling Moogle 11 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0
Penelo Moogle 11 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.25
Sportive Ariana Moogle 20 0.91 0.90 1.00 0.50 0.5
Purple Nail Polish 244 11.14 11.10 11.00 12.00 1
Purple Lipstick 229 10.45 10.50 10.50 12.00 1.5
Purple Hair Spray 236 10.77 10.80 10.75 12.00 1.25
Purple Perfume 268 12.23 12.20 12.00 12.00 0
CD Album 42 1.92 1.90 2.00 1.00 1
Random Megacite 360 16.43 16.40 16.50 17.00 0.5
Random Magicite 587 26.79 26.80 26.75 25.00 1.75
Total summoned 4628 100.00 99.90 100.00 100.00 0
Magicite and Megacite breakdown below:

Table 2

Magicite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 69 3.15 3.34
Blue 63 2.88 3.34
Green 69 3.15 3.34
White 78 3.56 3.34
Black 76 3.47 3.34
Yellow 95 4.34 3.34
Orange 63 2.88 3.34
Violet 74 3.38 3.34
Total Pulled 587 26.79 26.75

Table 3

Megacite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 44 2.01 2.06
Blue 46 2.10 2.06
Green 44 2.01 2.06
White 37 1.69 2.06
Black 40 1.83 2.06
Yellow 53 2.42 2.06
Orange 47 2.15 2.06
Violet 49 2.24 2.06
Total Pulled 360 16.43 16.50
Please note that the "Absolute Difference" category is there to delineate how close my sample size is to the collective sample size the Wiki has put together. 0% means my data directly correlates to that of the Wiki's data. 0.25-0.50% is a relatively reasonable margin of bias and RNG differences. 0.50-1% starts getting into the "this is a bit different" category. Anything above 1% in my opinion is starting to get into the whole "okay there's a bit of a difference between these two data sets" but is still within the realm of reason a long as it's below 2% seeing as my sample size is still really small in comparison. Do keep in mind this paragraph is my opinion based off of what i've seen in the past while I've done this and not actual analysis, I just wanna help give meaning to that column as I see it as very important.
The trend seems to be that the lower the estimated percent of something being pulled (i.e. the Moogles) has a smaller absolute difference between my data and the Wiki's data compared to the more abundant items (i.e. materials). This actually surprised me seeing as the Law of Averages and the way statistics works is that the more data you gather on something, the closer the limit approaches the average. Since the units were pulled far less often and with such smaller numbers (which as 15 and 20), we might expect a more wild fluctuation between the actual numbers between the two data sets. We see the more wild fluctuation with the materials, which were closer to number with 229 and 268.
We do, on the other hand, see more typical behavior when we compare the actual pull numbers to the estimated percentage from my set and the Wiki's set. For example, the King Metal Minitaur, of which I pulled 15, had an actual 0.68% pull rate compared to my estimation of 0.75% and the Wiki's of 0.50%. This means my pulls were about 9.4% different from my estimation and about 26.4% off from the Wiki's estimation. On the other hand, I pulled 236 Purple Hair Sprays of which i'm 0.2% from my estimation and 10.5% off from the Wiki's estimation. Both of these comparisons are indicative of the units (smaller estimates) and materials/-cites (larger estimates) respectively.
The megacite and magicite tables are pretty typical.
Below are my findings for my alt account compared to the Wiki's findings1 :

Table 4

Name Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Rounding Estimation (%) Better Estimation (%) Wiki's Estimation (%) Absolute Difference (%)
King Gil Snapper 30 2.76 2.80 2.75 3.00 0.25
Metal Gigantuar 34 3.13 3.10 3.00 3.00 0
Gil Snapper Family 8 0.74 0.70 0.75 0.50 0.25
King Metal Minituar 7 0.64 0.60 0.75 0.50 0.25
Kitty Ariana Moogle 12 1.10 1.10 1.00 0.75 0.25
Ling Moogle 10 0.92 0.90 1.00 0.50 0.5
Penelo Moogle 4 0.37 0.40 0.50 0.25 0.25
Sportive Ariana Moogle 10 0.92 0.90 1.00 0.50 0.5
Purple Nail Polish 128 11.76 11.80 11.75 12.00 0.25
Purple Lipstick 117 10.75 10.80 10.75 12.00 1.25
Purple Hair Spray 125 11.49 11.50 11.50 12.00 0.5
Purple Perfume 126 11.58 11.60 11.50 12.00 0.5
CD Album 21 1.93 1.90 2.00 1.00 1
Random Megacite 191 17.56 17.60 17.50 17.00 0.5
Random Magicite 265 24.36 24.40 24.25 25.00 0.75
Total summoned 1088 100.00 100.10 100.00 100.00 0
Magicite and Megacite breakdown below:

Table 5

Magicite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 39 3.58 3.03
Blue 35 3.22 3.03
Green 34 3.13 3.03
White 29 2.67 3.03
Black 32 2.94 3.03
Yellow 33 3.03 3.03
Orange 39 3.58 3.03
Violet 24 2.21 3.03
Total Pulled 265 24.36 24.25

Table 6

Megacite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 19 1.75 2.19
Blue 22 2.02 2.19
Green 19 1.75 2.19
White 27 2.48 2.19
Black 25 2.30 2.19
Yellow 25 2.30 2.19
Orange 28 2.57 2.19
Violet 26 2.39 2.19
Total Pulled 191 17.56 17.50
The data comparison is pretty similar here to the main account's data with some exceptions:
  • The sum of the Absolute Differences column (total difference between my estimate and the wiki's) in the main account was 9 while for this account it's 7. A smaller sample size with a closer alignment with the wiki's data is unexpected but explainable since the variance of pulls is wider with smaller data sets.
  • The difference between my estimation and the Wiki's is more averaged in this alt account set than it was in the main account (smaller differences with the materials and larger differences with the units).
Below are my findings for my main + alt accounts added together compared to the Wiki's findings1 :

Table 7

Name Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Rounding Estimation (%) Better Estimation (%) Wiki's Estimation (%) Absolute Difference (%)
King Gil Snapper 105 3.20 3.20 3.25 3.00 0.25
Metal Gigantuar 96 2.93 2.90 3.00 3.00 0
Gil Snapper Family 26 0.79 0.80 0.75 0.50 0.25
King Metal Minituar 22 0.67 0.70 0.75 0.50 0.25
Kitty Ariana Moogle 25 0.76 0.80 0.75 0.75 0
Ling Moogle 21 0.64 0.60 0.75 0.50 0.25
Penelo Moogle 15 0.46 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.25
Sportive Ariana Moogle 30 0.91 0.90 1.00 0.50 0.50
Purple Nail Polish 372 11.34 11.30 11.25 12.00 0.75
Purple Lipstick 346 10.55 10.60 10.50 12.00 1.5
Purple Hair Spray 361 11.01 11.00 11.00 12.00 1
Purple Perfume 394 12.02 12.00 12.00 12.00 0
CD Album 63 1.92 1.90 2.00 1.00 1
Random Megacite 551 16.80 16.80 16.50 17.00 0.50
Random Magicite 852 25.98 26.00 26.00 25.00 1
Total summoned 3279 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0
Magicite and Megacite breakdown below:

Table 8

Magicite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 108 3.29 3.25
Blue 98 2.99 3.25
Green 103 3.14 3.25
White 107 3.26 3.25
Black 108 3.29 3.25
Yellow 128 3.90 3.25
Orange 102 3.11 3.25
Violet 98 2.99 3.25
Total Pulled 852 25.98 26.00

Table 9

Megacite Color Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
Red 63 1.92 3.25
Blue 68 2.07 3.25
Green 63 1.92 3.25
White 64 1.95 3.25
Black 65 1.98 3.25
Yellow 78 2.38 3.25
Orange 75 2.29 3.25
Violet 75 2.29 3.25
Total Pulled 551 16.80 16.50
As expected, combining the two data sets averages out what I said about the two individually a bit (i.e. for example, instead of the sum of the Absolute Difference column being 9 or 7, it's not 7.5, and the differences are more averaged out to a more believable amount.)
Here's a more compact comparison between my main account, alt account, main + alt account, and the Wiki's findings1 :

Table 10

Name Main Account Estimation (%) Alt Account Estimation (%) Main + Alt Account Estimation (%) Wiki's Estimation (%)
King Gil Snapper 3.50 2.75 3.25 3.00
Metal Gigantuar 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
Gil Snapper Family 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.50
King Metal Minituar 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.50
Kitty Ariana Moogle 0.50 1.00 0.75 0.75
Ling Moogle 0.50 1.00 0.75 0.50
Penelo Moogle 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.25
Sportive Ariana Moogle 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50
Purple Nail Polish 11.00 11.75 11.25 12.00
Purple Lipstick 10.50 10.75 10.50 12.00
Purple Hair Spray 10.75 11.50 11.00 12.00
Purple Perfume 12.00 11.50 12.00 12.00
CD Album 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.00
Random Megacite 16.50 17.50 16.50 17.00
Random Magicite 26.75 24.25 26.00 25.00
Total summoned 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
Both accounts individually and together have very similar numbers compared to what the cumulative data from the Wiki determined were the possible pull rates. Both accounts together are closer to the Wiki's numbers which might be due to just having a larger pool of pulls in general.
Here's a comparison of the drop types for the last few raids (based off of Wiki's numbers1 2 3 4 ) :

Table 11

Summon Categories Anniversary Raid (%) NieR Raid (%) The Shadow Lord Invades (%) Dark Symphony (%)
Units (Non Moogle/Enhancement) 3 2 0 0
TMR Moogles 0 2.5 0 2
Enhancement Units 15.5 6.5 7.5 7
Materials 61.5 49.5 82.00 49
Magi/Megacite 20 39.5 10.50 42
It seems that over time we've gotten less TMR moogles, less actual units like Minfilia and Adam, less enhancement units like the Cactuars and Gil Snappers, and more materials and magicite. It fluctuates a bit between raids but that appears to be the general trend. I would like to update this with numbers from raids even further back such as the Ifrit, Bahamut, and Titan raids, but I couldn't find data to use for them. I think with statistics for those raids, we would have a better idea of how the summon pool has shifted.
It seems the raids are providing us with less TMRs in general, as well as less usable units from the raid. It's worth noting, however, that this raid gave us Sportive Ariana so we did get one free unit, she just wasn't from the raid. (It's also worth noting that she's a semi decent tank for anyone who wants to try her out. She's no WoL or Wilhelm or even Snow, but she's not completely useless either.)
All in all, whether the raid pools are getting better or worse is up to subjectivity, but in my personal opinion they'r degraded quite a bit. As someone who's been playing for a long time, I can't make much use of 80%+ of what I pulled since all my espers are maxed and I've plenty for the next espers coming along, and the equipment is mostly useless outside of expedition fodder. I made much better use out of the bigger influx of units and therefore TMRs from past raids. Although for newer players the boost to espers and plenty of equipment might actually be more useful than a TMR or two (they would inherently get less since they cannot grind ELT and possibly PRO). So your mileage may vary.
I'll leave this space open for anyone else who wants to contribute any data they've recorded:
Here we have a data contribution from Jack_Mikeson
Name Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%) Skittlessour's Estimation (%) Wiki's Estimation (%)
King Gil Snapper 116 3.5 3.5 3.25 3.0
Metal Gigantuar 110 3.4 3.5 3.0 3.0
Gil Snapper Family 20 0.61 0.60 0.75 0.50
King Metal Minituar 25 0.76 0.80 0.75 0.50
Kitty Ariana Moogle 20 0.61 0.60 0.75 0.75
Ling Moogle 28 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.50
Penelo Moogle 13 0.40 0.40 0.50 0.25
Sportive Ariana Moogle 28 0.85 0.80 1.0 0.50
Purple Nail Polish 357 10.9 10.8 11.25 12.0
Purple Lipstick 346 10.5 10.8 10.5 12.0
Purple Hair Spray 354 10.8 10.8 11.0 12.0
Purple Perfume 400 12.2 12.2 12.0 12.0
CD Album 45 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.0
Random Megacite 531 16.2 16.0 16.5 17.0
Random Magicite 890 27.1 27.0 26.0 25.0
Total summoned 3283 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Pretty self explanatory since they went through the trouble of formatting a comparison directly into the table (much appreciated!).
ClinkzZ90 gives us this data:
Did 23x10k Pulls and got similar numbers. 51x 3* Gil, 17x 4* Gil, 78x 3* Exp, 19x 4* Exp.
This means that out of 230,000 coins, or 2,300 summons, this is what they had:

Table 12

Name Total Pulls Pull Rate (%) Estimation (%)
King Gil Snapper 51 2.21 2.25
Metal Gigantuar 78 3.39 3.50
Gil Snapper Family 17 0.74 0.75
King Metal Minituar 19 0.82 0.75
Total summoned (Enhancement Units) 165 7.17 7.25
Do note that while the individual said "23x10k" pulls, this doesn't take into account how many coins the last pull actually had (from 100 to 10,000) so the actual pull rates might fluctuate a bit depending on that, but not my enough to change my estimation. Actually they meant that they did 23 full pulls and an extra one that wasn't a full 10k coins, so the data is precise as far as that's concerned.
This data lines up roughly with what we have in our last two tables above. The Wiki estimated about 7% of the pulls were enhancement units, while here we have 7.25%. Both 3★ units average to about what the average is from the other data sets (~6%) whereas the 4★ units have the same estimation of both of my sample sizes at 0.75% each, but is 50% higher than what the Wiki arrived at (0.5% each).
I really appreciate any and all people who are willing to go through the arduous task of recording their pulls and forming data like this. Especially those who already have maxed out magicite since that's a very lengthy extra step to get the information for.
Finally, below are links to relevant information:
As well as my past related posts
Thank you for taking a look at my post, please voice all comments and concerns either in the comments or send me a PM. If you do so as a reply to this post, to ensure a response give me a Skittlessour tag.
submitted by Skittlessour to FFBraveExvius

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